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Cryptocurrency

Although currencies can often be considered a ‘traditional investment’, Cryptocurrencies certainly don’t fall within this category. This is largely due to the fact they are volatile, they move against the market in many instances, and they are largely speculative.

Although this was not their original intention, which was to become an online currency through the use of blockchain technology, it was taken over by the money markets, a FOMO or fear of missing out ensued, derivatives were created, and the whole thing tumbled, so let’s take a look.

Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, Tron and literally hundreds more have been gracing the pages of the tech investment market updates and getting the motors running of many savvy investors around the globe.

Believed by many as the future of money, cryptocurrency has emerged over the past 10 years across the globe as a way to not only engage in eCommerce, but purchase items such as clothes, cars, houses, even meals at KFC!

What are cryptocurrencies?

Essentially cryptocurrencies are a form of electronic money. The money doesn’t physically exist but are held in the form of a ‘digital token’ created from code using an encrypted string of data blocks, known as a blockchain.

Bought and exchanged on exchange platforms using money, they can then be traded in marketplaces similar to trading shares online. Some popular exchanges include the Australian platform CoinSpot and other popular global platforms such as CoinBase, LinkCoin and Cex.io.

Of all the coins, the most popular and the largest in terms of market capitalisation is Bitcoin. In existence since 2009, its creation is shrouded in a great deal of secrecy and mystery.

Created by Satoshi Nakamoto, who posted the article Bitcoin: A Peer-To-Peer Electronic Cash System on a mailing list discussion on cryptocurrency in 2008, the cryptocurrency was created to cut out the middleman in transactions – such as banks. The cryptocurrency does this using blockchain technology, which makes the transaction not only safe, but if you don’t have the exact ten-digit code required – you can’t get your money back.

In 2010, the first cryptocurrency trade took place with an investor deciding to sell their Bitcoin for the first time – swapping 10,000 of them for two pizzas. If the buyer had hung onto those Bitcoins until December 2017 they would be worth more than $56,336,600 Australian dollars!

Since the early days of Bitcoin, the market has grown to include new currencies and global awareness of the features (ie. advantages and benefits of owning your own piece of digital currency) has grown. Interestingly, one of the core benefits of cryptocurrency is that you don't need to own a whole coin, just a part of one to be in on the action.

The rise and fall of Bitcoin

Bitcoin is the largest of all the coins and valued at $5633.66 per coin as of the 17th of March 2019, in a market that is valued at $97,196,079,818.08 Australian dollars!

The market took a massive turn in 2017 as the mainstream jumped at the chance to make some money and the rising tide of FOMO (fear of missing out) with the cryptocurrency starting the year at $1381.40 per coin on the 2nd of January 2017, hitting its peak at $26,802 on the 17th of December 2017!

People couldn’t believe their luck, as people were turning into overnight millionaires, but this was assuming that they had all the required codes to sell their coins and that they sold when the time was right.

With many expert investors such as Warren Buffet saying that Bitcoin was 'probably rat poison squared', there were many sceptics that couldn’t believe the prices were sustainable – and they were right!

By February 2018, the price had crashed down to $10,188.99 per coin hitting its lowest point on the 10th of December 2018 of $4646.25.

So, what happened?

There were a number of straws that broke Bitcoin’s back. Firstly, a number of countries banned trading – such as South Korea – many of who had a massive love of the cryptocurrency up until that point. This was due to serious concerns about regulation, tax implications and the fact the money could be traded with virtually no oversight.

Secondly, the price rise in 2017 was driven by a bubble, as more and more people heard about the cryptocurrency and jumped on in a case of fear of missing out (FOMO), thus the rules of demand & supply came to fruition, more people wanted the cryptocurrency and people holding them wanted more of them.

Finally, the Chicago Board Options Exchange and Chicago Mercantile Exchanges listed Bitcoin Futures, which allowed sophisticated speculators to short the coin on a large scale – effectively crashing the price.

There are other currencies aren’t there?

Absolutely, there are hundreds if not thousands of cryptocurrencies – 2112 according to Coinmarketcap.com as of March 17 2019 - which should have all been operating as their own markets shouldn’t they?

Although the cryptocurrency market was not supposed to be a derivative market, it most certainly became one. Not only thanks to the shorting of the cryptocurrency that was occurring on the Chicago exchanges, but also when Bitcoin crashed, it took the entire market with it.

By the end of the first quarter of 2018, the entire cryptocurrency market fell by 54 per cent, with losses in the market topping $500 billion!

Currency or speculative instrument?

There are a number of shortcomings of cryptocurrency, firstly they were set up as an ‘alternative currency’, and in the initial outset, early adopters were using it to purchase anything from pizzas to islands (at the market peak).

As a currency, it failed. Bitcoin has morphed into an asset whose only purpose is speculation. Imagine walking into a store and purchasing a meal, only to find out it went from costing you $50 to $500 due to the movement in the price!

Block chain – where do they fit in?

Used by many cryptocurrencies and an original feature of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency, blockchain technology was an important innovation that has already changed and will undoubtedly change a range of industries and transactions in the future.

A blockchain is the structure of data that represents a financial ledger entry, or a record of a transaction. Each transaction is digitally signed to ensure its authenticity and to ensure no one tampers with it, so the ledger itself and the existing transactions within it are assumed to be of high integrity.

These digital ledger entries are distributed among a deployment or infrastructure serving the purpose of providing a consensus about the state of a transaction at any given second.

Blockchain provides a high level of security when it comes to the management of ledgers or databases of information. The whole idea was a ‘peer to peer’ system, rather than trading through a third party, such as a bank.

Other uses for blockchain technology could be to create a permanent, public, transparent ledger system for compiling data on sales, tracking digital use and payments to content creators, such as wireless users.

There have been applications across the ownership and trading of assets, such as artwork, whereby investors can purchase a ‘piece’ or percentage of the artwork and trade it on a platform as they choose utilising the blockchain technology.

So, what does the future of cryptocurrency hold?

Although the market has seen a performance that can only be described as a rollercoaster, the cryptocurrency market provides a high number of tradeable speculative instruments for account holders.

Companies such as Ripple with their XRP currency have contracts that are being explored by the likes of Santander and CIMB for future transactions and may even replace Swift payments for cross-border transactions which provides huge scope outside of the speculative instrument that many cryptocurrencies have become.

The perception of traditional financial institutions around cryptocurrency is changing. Moving forward, stakeholders can expect to see an increased inflow of funds from Wall Street into the crypto market as crypto funds, ETFs, and other investment vehicles debut. However, the inflow of Wall Street will also require increased transparency, accountability, and regulation.

It needs to be remembered that although cryptocurrency has experienced massive spikes and drops in price, it is also in its ‘early adoption’ phase. As such, there may be market volatility such as what was experienced in 2017/2018 until mass-market momentum steps in.

The market for cryptocurrency has come a long way and fast, and now institutional investors, global corporations and governments are looking at how they can utilise, incorporate and regulate the cryptocurrencies themselves, as well as the technology that underpins them.

Although cryptocurrency may have failed in its initial attempt to create an ‘alternative peer-to-peer’ currency, it has instead created a speculative instrument and is far from being dead and gone.

Cryptocurrencies have the hallmarks of being excellent trading instruments for people who want to take the time to learn and trade the market, but their future could be a highly lucrative, albeit highly speculative path.

Related blog articles

How to start out in alternative investments?

Aug 20, 2021 11:09:17 AM

How to start out in alternative investments?

Like many investors out there, you have decided to ‘start out in alternative investments’. You understand your risk tolerance and you have your objectives in place – if not, you obviously didn’t read the last section, please do!

Now it's time to work through how to get started. As we have mentioned more than a dozen times in this book, it is vital that you get advice first. Speaking to an expert in alternative investments is key to your success, when starting out in the world of alternative investments.

You may think that investing in a managed fund is the best path for you, or maybe a piece of artwork. But which fund? Which piece of artwork? Why?

This is where the experts come into action. They can provide you with factual data on the performance of their funds, of their investments, of what your money ‘could have looked like’ had you invested with them 1, 3, 5, 10 years ago. Often this is very compelling, but always remember, that past performance is not an accurate predictor of future returns!

It must be noted though, that in the wake of the Royal Commission into the Financial Services Sector, new laws require a financial adviser to recommend an investment strategy that best suits the client so the expert should be able to speak about more than just their own strategy or an MDA, but a range of financial products to best identify what will suit your particular needs.

As an investor that is new to alternative investments, it is often easy to get caught up in how well funds have performed, but you need to ask why? What market conditions lead to this?

Although you might feel like a ‘dummy’ before you put your hard-earned money into a fund, you need to understand everything about how it works, you have every right to ask why, what, when, where and how as many times as you need until you feel comfortable.

Should you be investing in a fund or a scheme, there will always be a prospectus or information memorandum for you to review. Take it to your financial planner and/or accountant and ask them to review it, again ask as many questions as you can.

The key is not being caught up in all the ‘smoke and mirrors’ that sometimes-unscrupulous fund operators have. For example, from a sleepy little town in Northern New South Wales, Kingscliff came Gold Sky, voted the #1 fund in a prestigious Hong Kong awards for fund innovations.

The fund claimed to use ‘big data’, ‘social media’ and ‘quantitative analysis’ to deliver returns well beyond market averages. Backed by big named sports stars, and holding lavish events with industries heavyweights such as Mark Bouris guest speaking, everything looked like gold for this little fund.

Then, it all came crashing down as the SEC and ASIC started peeling back the layers of the onion, looking into the director, his fund’s management experience and of course the company balance sheet and realised it was nothing but a Ponzi scheme, leaving investors over $12 million out of pocket.

By definition, the “key elements of Ponzi scheme are as follows: (1) using new investor funds to pay prior investors; (2) representing that the investor returns are generated from a purported business venture; and (3) employing artificial devices to disguise the lack of economic substance or defer the recognition of economic loss”.

In short, where money is involved, unfortunately, there are in many cases a large number of unscrupulous operators, doing a lot of things that are not only bad business but also illegal.

Before you step into investing, be sure to get independent advice from more than one person including your accountant, your financial advisor, and your lawyer. But if you don’t have any of those, maybe consider looking into getting one, as you want to make sure you are always protected.

What type of investor are you?

Aug 20, 2021 9:28:03 AM

What type of investor are you?

Now, having reviewed the multitude of investment opportunities, both in traditional and alternative investments, you should have a grasp of what each investment avenue can provide and where you potentially fit in.

Odds are, as this is a beginner’s guide, then you will be starting your journey into investing. If, however, you are reading this section of this e-book, then you have started your journey in the right way. Getting information and a basic understanding of the different types of investments - both alternative and traditional – is paramount before you start anything.

Once you have finished this book, sign up and attend a few seminars, take a workshop or two, even log in and start trading on a simulator – such as the ASX Game – which allows you to trade in live conditions, but with money that is not your own. Therefore you limit any losses entirely, but unfortunately, you don’t make any gains.

So, now to the million-dollar question, what type of investor are you? The key is to understand first what your objectives are? Are you looking for the thrill of trade, buying and selling quickly and taking risks, or are you looking to invest for the long term, maybe to support or fund your retirement?

Like you would a business plan, firstly, set yourself a series of key goals or objectives. These can include setting up a residual income stream in 5-10 years or turning $10,000 into $100,000 in ten years. Ensure you are being SMART or, Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant and Timely.

For example, by 2025, I want to have a diversified portfolio of shares with a value of $60,000. So, even if you have to put in $12,000 per year, or $1,000 per month into your portfolio and you make no capital gains through the shares, this is achievable.

Once you have 5+ objectives in place, now it is time to understand your risk tolerance. Can you afford to lose everything you are putting in? If the answer is no, then shares, cash and property through the ‘traditional’ investment channels are right for you. Potentially being part of a managed fund, even investing in some art could be of benefit.

On the other hand, if you have come into some money – through inheritance or otherwise – maybe you own your own home, and you are looking to invest money and make a higher return – with little to no consequence to your livelihood or the roof over your head, then potentially looking at investing in a fund, ETFs or even CFDs could be an option.

We will always put a warning in place, that these alternative investment channels are used by experts, as when people with a little knowledge play in this space, they are often taken advantage of and can lose a lot more than you thought you were investing – as mentioned above.

So, the key is to get advice, seek experts to guide you. For example, many MDAs – such as the MDAs at Walker Capital – provide minimum investments of $10,000, and their returns – which you can see for yourself on our website – often buck the trends in the marketplace. It must be noted that the investment strategy used by Walker Capital as part of the MDA includes investing in highly risky and speculative products.

While investing is often seen as a long term strategy to future wealth and sustaining your lifestyle, there is no question that when you put your own money in, you become very interested in reading about company information, market movements and looking for the next play for your portfolio. Stay informed, read the financial papers, websites and blogs from ‘real’ authority figures – and NEVER invest more than you can afford to lose.

So, you could be a risk-averse investor, putting your money only into ‘blue-chip stocks’ such as BHP and the banks, while ensuring that you have your mortgage paid and your kids school fees paid. On the other side of the coin, you may have a high-risk tolerance, happy to risk $1,000, $10,000, $100,000 even $1,000,000 if the payoff is worth it.

The key is to set your objectives, set your limits, get expert advice and stick to your line – the moment you start deviating, getting carried away or ‘straying from your strategy’ this is where mistakes can be made and losses incurred.

Other Investments

Aug 20, 2021 9:25:54 AM

Other Investments

Art

Investing in art has moved from the stuffy collections of the wealthy elite, into the mainstream as investors around the world seek to diversify their portfolios, hedge against risk and collect some beautiful talking pieces for their office or home walls along the way.

In 2019 the Art Basel UBS Art Market Report contended that the global art market was worth close to $US67 billion. Now to many investors, this may seem like something too good to miss out on, however, although the market value increased vs. 2018, the net gain over 10 years is 8.7 per cent, which is lower than the Australian rate of inflation! 

With over 40 million transactions in the global art market, there is an underlying assumption of ‘liquidity’ in the market, as could be assumed with the trading of shares, bonds or other financial instruments. However, this is not the case for all art, the market certainly is a ‘buyer beware’ scenario.

Like with other financial instruments, without prior experience or knowledge an investor wouldn’t simply walk in and buy any art piece off the shelf – unless they had the means to do so and like the work.

There are indeed intermediaries, galleries, and buyers’ agents providing services from simply the buying and selling of the works, through to providing services such as ‘buyers agents’ as you would find in real estate, who scout out particular works or artists. In addition, there are art investment specialists that work directly with clients to purchase high growth prospect works from rising or established artists.

It is often said that beauty is in the eye of the beholder, and no industry is this more apparent than the art world. What some people may see as an eyesore, could fetch astronomical prices at auction; it is simply about investing in the right works at the right time, and like any asset class, knowing the right time to move them.

Transparency and markets are often an issue with art

It is no secret that there are forgeries and many cowboys trading art around the world, and not merely in a Jack Ryan or James Bond thriller. Artworks, especially those considered ‘fine art’ can be sold for millions, tens of millions, even hundreds of millions of dollars, so it is no wonder there are forgeries and fakes circulating out in the marketplace.

The art market as a whole is largely unregulated, leading to a wide range of issues in itself. In addition, the trade in fine art is unpredictable because it depends not just on supply and demand but also on the unmeasurable factor of taste.

Although this is starting to evolve and change, with many art registers and auction houses around the world implementing blockchain technology for the purpose of cataloguing and tracking the movement of art from galleries, through to storage to stamp out forgery.

Like all investments, for those who are entering the market for the first time, or potentially looking to step their investment up a level, seeking expert, certified & professional advice is always the best course of action. As previously mentioned, there is a wide range of experts around the world that specialise in particular art types or even investment art pieces.

These are pieces that are in high demand by private and corporate houses, that seek to lease the asset, providing ongoing and incremental returns, while the owner also enjoys the asset value appreciation. Through the right investment strategy, there are significant opportunities and ROI that can be realised, not only for a capital gain but also for portfolio hedging.

Antiquities

Like art, antiquities have grown significantly in appeal for portfolio diversification in the past few decades. However, before such time, antiquities have been the source of much conflicts, such as the crusades in which the knight’s templar plundered much of the middle east in the quest for the holy grail, said to be the cup that Christ passed around at the last supper.

All that aside, antiquities have a large potential capital appreciation, and many of us don’t even know what we may have in the cupboard. From dinner sets, glassware, pottery, vases, furniture that has been created by famous artists, or production houses – such as Royal Doulton – have huge potential for capital growth.

Wine                 

If you were lucky enough to get your hands on a bottle of 1951 Penfolds Grange Hermitage from your grandparent’s cellar from back in the day, you would be doing ok. Individual bottles of the 1951 vintage are still held by collectors; one sold at auction in 2004 for just over $50,000.

The global wine industry was valued at approximately USD 302.02 billion in 2017 and is expected to generate revenue of around USD, 423.59 billion by the end of 2023, growing at a CAGR of around 5.8% between 2017 and 2023.

Investment in wine most certainly is not a new idea, however with high levels of transparency, accountability and liquidity – unlike say cryptocurrencies – there are huge opportunities to be made at all levels of the spectrum. It should be remembered that we are not suggesting you head down and get a case of 2019 cleanskins from your local bottle shop as an investment.

The fact of the matter is “less than 1% of all wine produced worldwide may be considered investment grade, with the market traditionally preoccupied with the prestigious chateaux of Bordeaux. The finite quantities produced, ever-decreasing through consumption generally ensure predictable growth in the long-term with a perfectly inverse supply curve”.

But in saying that, as new and emerging markets – such as the Chinese & South East Asian middle-class rise in numbers and appreciation of wines, the markets are certainly being challenged in terms of their supply/demand curve.

Like investing in stocks, art or maybe a fund, it is important to not just go it alone. Also remembering that just because you may like a particular wine, it doesn’t make it valuable. There are many wine shows around the capital cities and wine regions of Australia, as well as auction houses – such as Langton’s in Melbourne and Christie's Auction House in Sydney – that run specific wine investment courses, auctions and of course events.

Not only could you make a good investment by attending such a course, but also you will learn a lot and have a great time while doing it.

Other alternative investments

These include Private Equity Infrastructure, Private Equity Real Estate and Private Equity Debt Funds; these are very selectively used and are most certainly not available to any investor off the street.

The investments outlined are highly complex financial instruments that are used by only ‘institutional investors and extremely wealthy individuals.

That being said, it is still very important as you move through your investment journey, especially that into alternative investment opportunities, to understand them – if even from a basic level. As such, we have provided a brief synopsis of each to give you an understanding.

Private Equity Infrastructure

Investing in Private Equity (PE) infrastructure is an investment in utilities, transport, social infrastructure: such as hospitals and schools and of course energy assets. Unlike ‘private equity’, PE Infrastructure is treated differently due to its low volatility and strong cash yield. In addition, infrastructure assets performance is often implicitly or explicitly linked to macro indicators such as inflation, GDP, population growth, and has a very low correlation with other asset classes.

So, why can’t I jump on this asset I hear you say? Well, often the buy-in for such an investment is in the Millions, even hundreds of. Not only that, but they are highly complex in their structure and done through the big end of town. So although it would be great to put your $10,000 savings into, unfortunately, this is not for you.

Private Equity Real Estate

Typically for private equity real estate, the minimum rate of investment is often starting from $250,000. This is often a barrier to many investors.

Private equity real estate is an asset class composed of pooled private and public investments in the property markets. Investing in this asset class involves the acquisition, financing, and ownership (either direct or indirect) of property or properties via a pooled vehicle.

Although very risky – due to the fluctuations in property prices, supply, demand and other both micro & macro-economic factors – the return on investment is not uncommon to realise 8%, 10% even 20% depending on the countries and regions you are investing in, and the types of real estate assets – i.e. hotel, commercial, mixed-use and residential developments.

Private Equity Debt Funds

Created, raised and managed by professional investment firms and managers, a private equity debt fund is used for making investments in various ‘debt’ securities according to one of the investment strategies associated with private equity. At inception, institutional investors make an unfunded commitment to the limited partnership, which is then drawn over the term of the fund.

Similar to other funds, there are passive and active funds, depending on their level of management, however, as a general rule, they offer less attractive returns for investors. “A debt fund may invest in short-term or long-term bonds, securitised products, money market instruments or floating rate debt. On average, the fee ratios on debt funds are lower than those attached to equity funds because the overall management costs are lower”.